Real-Estate Credit Market

Why real-estate credit, why onchain, and why a dollar backed by government debt and property.

Real estate is the largest collateralised asset class in the world. At the start of 2025 the global stock of real estate was worth an estimated $393 trillion — roughly four times global GDP, and more than all listed equities and bonds combined — of which commercial real estate accounted for about $58 trillion.1 USD.estate lets onchain dollars earn from this asset class without leaving the safety rails of permissioned, institutionally structured securities.

$10B$1T$100T Global real estate $393T Commercial real estate $58T Private credit $3T → $5T Tokenized RWA today $19B Tokenized, 2030 (est.) $2–9T Log scale · figures cited below · reserve/yield colours match the rest of these docs

A debt business, financed increasingly outside the banks

Financing real estate has always been a debt business. Development, refurbishment, bridge and stabilised-asset finance run on senior loans and bonds, and banks historically provided most of it. That is changing. Under successive rounds of Basel capital rules — reinforced in the UK by slotting requirements — holding commercial real-estate exposure has become more expensive for banks in regulatory capital, and prime bank loan-to-values have fallen from around 65% to below 55% since the financial crisis, a constraint from which non-bank lenders are largely free.2

The banks have visibly retrenched. In the UK, banks' share of outstanding commercial real-estate loans fell from 40% to 37% in the first half of 2024 alone (international banks fell from 33% to 21%), while debt funds' share nearly doubled from 12% to 23%; alternative lenders, including insurers and debt funds, now hold about 43% of all outstanding UK CRE debt.2 The capital filling the gap is the wider private-credit market, which passed $3 trillion globally at the start of 2025 — up from roughly $2 trillion in 2020 — and is forecast to reach around $5 trillion by 2029.3 Securitisation vehicles, note programmes and listed bonds are a growing part of how real-estate debt gets funded.

The premium, and why it has been hard to reach

Because this paper is secured on property and structurally harder to access than a government bond, senior secured real-estate credit pays a real premium over govvies. UK senior lending margins on prime property have recently run around 250–320 bps over the floating risk-free rate at conservative leverage, and higher on secondary or specialist assets; in the US, all-in senior debt yields were near 9.8% at the end of 2025.4 Real-estate loan income now prices above BBB-rated corporate bonds, having historically priced below them.2

That premium has been difficult for most investors to reach. The paper is originated privately or placed in wholesale markets, held in minimum sizes that suit institutions, and rarely trades once issued. The friction is access and illiquidity, not credit quality. USD.estate removes that friction: it channels onchain dollars into the same institutionally structured, senior secured bonds, held inside vehicles institutional investors already understand, while giving depositors a liquid, transparent, composable claim they can enter and exit without originating or administering anything themselves.

Onchain capital wants this, and has been kept out

Onchain capital has mostly been kept out. Tokenized Treasury bills proved that stablecoin holders want safe, transparent yield: the tokenized US Treasuries market crossed $10 billion in February 2026, and tokenized real-world assets overall grew from about $5.4 billion to $19.3 billion over the fifteen months to Q1 2026 — the fastest-growing segment of onchain finance.5 Independent forecasts put total tokenized assets at $2–4 trillion by 2030 (McKinsey) to as high as $9.4 trillion (BCG).6 Yet there has been no equally clean route to the next rung up from T-bills: senior real-estate credit, held inside structures that institutional investors already understand.

Tokenized T-bills: proved there is durable onchain demand for transparent, government-backed yield.

Real-estate private credit: a large, collateralised, legally mature asset class that pays a premium over T-bills.

USD.estate: combines both. A T-bill reserve for liquidity and a real-estate bond sleeve for yield, in one dollar-denominated vault.

Depositors can access this market by staking USDest into sUSDest. Get started.

Why this is not adverse selection

The standard objection to real-world-asset protocols is adverse selection: assets that cannot raise capital through traditional markets end up onchain. USD.estate is built to avoid that in three ways.

  1. It does not originate. The protocol subscribes to bonds issued by regulated vehicles, such as Luxembourg securitisation compartments and Swiss-ISIN bond programmes, that are also sold to traditional investors. Onchain capital buys the same paper, on the same terms, as offchain capital.
  2. It publishes its filters. Every bond must meet published eligibility criteria. It must pass a public allowlist timelock before any allocation, and it is capped per issuer.
  3. The onchain advantage is distribution, not rescue financing. Issuers gain continuous, global, 24/7 distribution and settlement in USDC. Depositors gain liquidity, composability and real-time transparency. Neither side is using the chain as a lender of last resort.

A dollar backed by government debt and property

USD.estate separates the two things a dollar token usually conflates:

  • USDest is the dollar. It is fully backed by USDC and T-bill reserves and carries no real-estate exposure.
  • sUSDest is the yield. It is a claim on a rules-bounded portfolio of real-estate bonds plus the T-bill reserve, priced by its net asset value.

A venue that cannot hold credit risk can list USDest. A venue that wants yield can list sUSDest. Holders choose how much duration and credit risk they take by choosing which token to hold.


Figures are drawn from third-party industry and market sources as of their stated dates and are provided for context only; they are not a representation about the protocol's own assets or returns. Where sources report on a methodology-dependent basis (for example tokenized-market sizing), the cited figure reflects that source's methodology.


  1. Savills, "Total value of global real estate: $393.3 trillion" (2025), reporting global real estate at $393.3tn and commercial real estate at $58.5tn as of the start of 2025. https://www.savills.com/insight-and-opinion/savills-news/381209-0

  2. Bayes Business School, Commercial Real Estate Lending Report, Mid-Year 2024 — UK lender-share shift (banks 40%→37%, international banks 33%→21%, debt funds 12%→23%, alternative lenders ~43% of outstanding CRE debt), senior prime margins of ~250–320 bps, the fall in prime bank LTVs from ~65% to below 55% under Basel/slotting rules, and CRE loan income pricing above BBB corporate bonds. https://openaccess.city.ac.uk/id/eprint/34892/1/CRE%20Lending%20Report%20Media%20copy%20MY2024%20(1).pdf

  3. Morgan Stanley, "Private Credit Outlook" — global private-credit AUM of ~$3tn at the start of 2025 (up from ~$2tn in 2020), forecast to reach ~$5tn by 2029. https://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/private-credit-outlook-considerations

  4. US all-in senior commercial-mortgage debt yields near 9.8% in Q4 2025, per CBRE lending data as summarised by Altus Group, "US commercial real estate debt markets close 2025 on a stronger note." https://www.altusgroup.com/insights/us-commercial-real-estate-debt-markets-close-2025-on-a-stronger-note/

  5. CoinGecko, RWA Report 2026 — tokenized US Treasuries crossing $10bn in February 2026, and total tokenized real-world assets growing from ~$5.4bn to ~$19.3bn over the fifteen months to Q1 2026. https://www.coingecko.com/research/publications/rwa-report-2026

  6. Tokenized-asset forecasts to 2030: McKinsey base case ~$2–4tn; BCG (with Ripple) ~$9.4tn — as compiled by a16z crypto, "Tokenized assets / RWA market data." https://a16zcrypto.com/posts/article/tokenized-asset-rwa-market-data-charts/